My research interests are geopolitical forecasting, prediction markets, migration, income based welfare schemes and the labour market.
My MSc thesis reviewing the evidence for a Basic Income scheme’s effect on the UK labour market is published online by the Citizen’s Income Trust.
My extended research paper on Negative income tax, ‘Free Market Welfare’, was published by the Adam Smith Institute. I’ll be giving evidence about this to the UK Liberal Democrats as an expert witness next month
I directed #SuperConLdn, the first UK conference on our Superforecasting project- here’s an article about it in the New Statesman. I give regular lectures about Superforecasting, and I was interviewed about Superforecasting on LBC and for a new podcast called James vs Ignorance