Current Projects:

I co-founded with my fellow Superforecaster Tom Liptay, to help people achieve the most accurate forecasting possible under real-world constraints

I qualified as a Superforecaster in the Good Judgment Project and spent three years as a Managing Director at Good Judgment. Read about our project in the Financial Times, NPR

I think Negative Income Tax is interesting. My paper on the subject, ‘Free Market Welfare’, was published by the Adam Smith Institute.

I directed #SuperConLdn, the first UK conference on our Superforecasting project- here’s an article about it in the New Statesman. I was interviewed about Superforecasting for the BBC Radio 4 programme All in the Mind (interview starts at 7 mins), 

I once had a semi-viral video called London’s 66,000 guns


1 comment
  1. Раssivеs Einkоmmen Mеinе Erfоlgsgeschiсhtе in 1 Моnаt. Strаtegie, um $ 10000 prо Monаt аn рassivеm Еinkоmmеn zu vеrdiеnеn: said:

    Erfolgsgeschichtе im Wеrt von 10.000 US-Dollаr. So genеriеren Siе еin рassives Еinkommеn von 10000 US-Dollar рro Моnat:

You should write what you think about this here, especially if you disagree- help smash my media bubble!

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