MUGShotMy research interests are geopolitical forecasting, prediction markets, migration, income based welfare schemes and the labour market.

Recent Projects:

I am teaching a one day seminar course on making better forecasts using data and lessons learned from the Good Judgement Project through Brier Consulting. Our first event will be on the 26th May- details and registration here

My extended research paper on Negative income tax, ‘Free Market Welfare’, was published by the Adam Smith Institute in October 2015. This paper accompanied the verbal evidence I gave to the Liberal Democrat welfare policy committee in November, and my speech advocating Basic Income at the LSE.

My MSc thesis reviewing the evidence for a Basic Income scheme’s effect on the UK labour market is published online by the Citizen’s Income Trust.

I’m also a Superforecaster in the Good Judgement Inc. You can read about our project in the Financial Times, NPR and a more detailed writeup of recent activity on my blog

I directed #SuperConLdn, the first UK conference on our Superforecasting project- here’s an article about it in the New Statesman. I give regular lectures about Superforecasting (list of upcoming lectures), and I was interviewed about Superforecasting for the BBC Radio 4 programme All in the Mind (interview starts at 7 mins), Business Today on the BBC World Service and for a new podcast called James vs IgnoranceOther interviews are collected at my Soundcoud

I am also helping out with a new monthly event in London called Empirical Sex about sexuality and gender differences which also has a podcast

You should write what you think about this here, especially if you disagree- help smash my media bubble!

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s