I co-founded Maby.app with my fellow Superforecaster Tom Liptay, to help people achieve the most accurate forecasting possible under real-world constraints.
My background in forecasting: qualified as a Superforecaster in the Good Judgment Project and spent three years as a Managing Director at Good Judgment. Read about our project in the Financial Times, NPR
I think Negative Income Tax is interesting. My paper on the subject, ‘Free Market Welfare’, was published by the Adam Smith Institute.
I directed #SuperConLdn, the first UK conference on our Superforecasting project- here’s an article about it in the New Statesman. I was interviewed about Superforecasting for the BBC Radio 4 programme All in the Mind (interview starts at 7 mins),
I once had a semi-viral video called London’s 66,000 guns