Current Projects:

I co-founded with my fellow Superforecaster Tom Liptay, to help people achieve the most accurate forecasting possible under real-world constraints.

My background in forecasting: qualified as a Superforecaster in the Good Judgment Project and spent three years as a Managing Director at Good Judgment. Read about our project in the Financial Times, NPR

I think Negative Income Tax is interesting. My paper on the subject, ‘Free Market Welfare’, was published by the Adam Smith Institute.

I directed #SuperConLdn, the first UK conference on our Superforecasting project- here’s an article about it in the New Statesman. I was interviewed about Superforecasting for the BBC Radio 4 programme All in the Mind (interview starts at 7 mins), 

I once had a semi-viral video called London’s 66,000 guns


You should write what you think about this here, especially if you disagree- help smash my media bubble!

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